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USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis: February 3, 2017

The market has been generally expecting the USD/CAD pair to undergo a period of ranging and consolidation as the US prepares to release its NFP report, and this was what happened with this particular currency pair during the past trading sessions. The USD/CAD is currently trading at over 1.3000 and is headed in a generally disappointing trading streak, but then again this region has strong support barriers, and this region might be a good place for traders to go long with a stop loss.

Oil prices have already settled down last month and has exhibited little activity on both directions. As a result, the Canadian dollar was able to obtain some support and the economic data scheduled to be released from Canada are also expected to be generally positive, and there are no major changes expected to occur within the Canadian economy. The drop in the value of the USD/CAD was mainly due to the weakness of the dollar, and once Trump makes major changes in the NAFTA agreement, then the trade relationship between US and Canada could be up for some major adjustments. This has no positive effect on both economies whatsoever, and this uncertainty has been fueling the drop in the value of the currency pair.

There are no major news expected to be released from the Canadian economy today but the market is expecting the release of the NFP report as well as the average earnings data and the non-manufacturing PMI data from the US. If these data comes out as positive, then this could further affirm an interest rate hike from the Fed in the near future, but a weak reading could cause the USD to further decrease in value.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: February 3, 2017

The EUR/USD pair has been subject to a lot of messy trading activity during the past trading sessions as the pair had no definite direction and generally exhibited an uncertain trading stance. The currency pair has been vainly trying to break through the 1.0800 trading range and briefly made it through this barrier and even reached up to 1.0828 points but eventually reverted back to its original stance after a massive sell-off met the pair, causing it to fall back to 1.0800 and even went as low as just over 1.0760 points.

Today is the scheduled release date of the NFP report from the US, and the market volatility is expected to surge as this particular report is one of the major economic reports anticipated by the markets every month. The NFP report now is even more crucial than ever, because the Fed has previously stated that the central bank will be relying on positive economic data as basis for whether they will be hiking interest rates in the future or otherwise. In addition, the release of the NFP report is equally important to restore investor and trader confidence in the USD, especially since the past few days has seen the dollar subject to more weakness as Trump drew negative comments from his recently implemented foreign policies such as the immigration ban. This is one of the reasons why the general direction of the EUR/USD remains uncertain since the market wants first to confirm the results of the NFP report before making any concrete moves.

For todays session, US will be releasing its NFP report as well as the non-manufacturing PMI data and average wage earnings data. Investors are hoping that these economic data comes out as positive in order to induce some strength in the ever-weakening stance of the US dollar.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: February 3, 2017

The Bank of England remained steady at 0.25% as of the previous day. The decision made by the regulators weakened the British currency while the pessimistic data from the PMI Construction further created more pressure.

The strengthening of the greenbacks felt across the board which provided support for the GBP/USD to attain a renewed multi-month highs last Wednesday.

The Cable resumed its development overnight and found a hurdle in the 1.2700 region and the sterling moves closer to the barrier during the morning trades. On one side, investors supposed that the pair lacks some reason for a hike up. The major had a sharp decline through 1.2600 mark prior to the New York open. The pair is kept intact overhead of the moving averages viewed in the 4-hour chart. The 100 and 50-EMAs moved northbound while 200-EMA was flat. Resistance is at 1.2600, support touched 1.2500. MACD increased which signaled strength for the buyers. RSI stayed around the overvalued territory.

The technicals in the 4-hour chart favored an extension upward. The GBPUSD is expected to preserve its bullishness in order to gain 1.2800 region following the break of 1.2700 level. Failure to post renewed gains could push the pound to endure a short-term bearish correction

through 1.2600 and 1.2500.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: February 3, 2017

The Kiwi against greenback trades with high volatility on Thursday trading session. The 0.7350 level stands as a minor resistance but levels below the 0.72 mark also gives support for the pair. For now, it is good to wait on the sidelines until the price breaks higher than the Resistance levels or to drop lower from the support to be more certain which seems about to happen today as the U.S. Nonfarm payrolls are about to be released.

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: February 3, 2017

The Euppy pair has been on a correction since last month in 2016 inducing high volatility in the market. Most of major economic events affect the Japanese yen with monetary policy statements and policy rates remain the same unlike in Euro. The BOJ is scheduled to have a meeting today which is described to be favorable for the yen against Euro in the succeeding trading days.

The Retails sales report for Euro is expected to have a result as much as 0.03% which is significantly greater than the former -0.04% while the Italian Preliminary CPI is anticipated to incur 0.02% less than the former 0.04%.

There is a high volatility present for the pair ranging between the 122.070 and 120.90 levels with false breakouts implying the uncertainty in the market. This cause indecisiveness even to bulls with impulsiveness of the bears taking over the market as it breaks lower than the 120.90 level. It is anticipated to close lower than the target towards the 118.50 level which is a probable strong support for the price after reaching the 120.90 level.

Despite its fall on Thursday, there seems to have a strong support which is around 120 handle that makes it highly plausible for the buyers to take over again the market. Hence, it is favorable to trade long positions but traders should be cautioned of choppiness in the market. Overall, if the price remains strong within the upper channel, then there would not much be of a problem and keep the pair steadfast.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: February 6, 2017
The GBP/USD pair has been entrapped in a wide range of 400-500 pips during the past few weeks in spite of the fact that the bulls should be well-fed due to the recent strength exhibited by the sterling pound. Unlike other major currencies, which perished instantly the minute the USD showed signs of weakness, the GBP was able to keep its head above water by some sheer innate force present within the value of the sterling pound.
The market is now getting closer and closer to the invocation date of Article 50, which will then commence the start of the Brexit process, and a lot of market players are very thankful that the workings of the Brexit process are now becoming clear as the invocation date draws nearer. This might not be entirely good news, but at the very least this clarity would lend some sense of direction especially for GBP/USD traders. This is one of the reasons why the sterling pound is doing relatively well against other major currencies who are bearing the brunt of the USDs weakness. The GBP/USD pair briefly traded within its range highs but eventually dropped and closed last weeks session at 1.2500 points and could possibly weaken further although there might be some minor bounces at 1.2400 or 1.2300 points. Any large corrections within this particular currency pair would probably lead to selloffs since the UKs economic fundamentals are still looking very positive as of the moment.
UK will be releasing its manufacturing production data this week, and the GBP/USD pair would most likely drop further towards 1.2400 and could even become weaker and reach 1.2300 where a reversion is expected in order to put the currency pair within the safe range.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: February 6, 2017

The negative figures from the Chinese PMI affected the commodities declining demand which involves the commodity currencies such as the Aussie dollar. As the US treasury bond yields recovered, the greenbacks got some decent support from it on Friday.

The pair traded with a slightly bearish sentiment last February 3 and come close to its multi-month highs. Meanwhile, buyers found a predetermined level 0.7700 and unable to reclaim it. Therefore, bulls weren't able to sustain their gains and return to 0.7650. The region stalled the progress of the sellers as it secures the prize on its area amid the EU opening. The price slipped through the NY hours on the back of negating its losses on a daily basis. The AUD/USD is confined on top of the bullish moving averages mentioned in the 4-hour chart. Resistance settled near 0.7700, support entered 0.7650.

The MACD weakened which confirmed a weak position of the buyers. RSI consolidated around the overvalued territory. The pair should reach 0.7700 in order to alleviate the bearish bias. Contrarily, a downward movement would likely emerge when the AUDUSD had a dipped at 0.7650 level. A close below the aforesaid mark allows the pair to extend it declivity towards 0.7550.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: February 6, 2017

The greenbacks remained steady last Friday and beat the mixed data from the euro region. The Composite PMI and Markit Eurozone Composite PMI exceeded the expected outcome while the report for the Retail Sales presented negative figures. The bullishness on Friday was kept intact.

The single European currency came in green and continuously to lost its steam during the morning trades. Traders drove the spot towards the lower region of the ascending channel at 1.0750. Sellers had a tough attempt to break the uptrend line amid EU session and successfully make a gap prior to the onset of New York trades. According to the 4-hour chart, the price tested the 50-EMA in the EU hours while other moving averages headed up. Resistance settled at 1.0750. Support entered 1.0700 level. The MACD grew less which signaled weak position for the buyers. RSI escaped from the overvalued territory and proceeded southwards.

A near-term bearish sentiment might prevail. A position close to 1.0750, the EUR/USD pair next target is the support area 1.0700.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: February 6, 2017

The Kiwi against greenback declined on Friday's trading session. A strong support was found at 0.7250 level but was able to reverse the trend after forming a bullish candle while the resistance is found at 0.7350 level. If the price breaks higher than the psychological levels which will then result to a decline to the 0.71 level. Traders should expect high volatility in the market. Hence, fluctuations and rough trading for the pair.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: February 7, 2017

The EUR/USD pair maintained its ranging and consolidation activity with a range of 100 pips after it was unable to make a clean break on either sides of the chart. The USD had a weak trading activity yesterday after the NFP report disappointed the majority of investors and erased hopes of the Fed hiking up its interest rates in the near future. This, along with immigration-related problems surrounding the Trump administration has been very vital in affecting the weakening value of the US dollar.

Market analysts had been saying during the past sessions that the EUR/USD pair would continue consolidating unless it manages to go beyond 1.0800 since this will be the only time that the EUR/USD would be making substantial progress. In the past 24 hours, both the US and the European Union were facing their own problems, from Trumps immigration policies and the Eurozones increasing political tension especially with the impending French national elections, with some French parties stating their plans to separate France from the EU once they get in power. This is why the EUR was unable to take advantage of the dollar weakness which could have made some large-scale gains given a wholly different political atmosphere.

There are no major news releases expected to come out from the EU today so the EUR/USD would most likely continue its ranging and consolidation trend for today. The euro would most likely continue to remain stagnant until such time that it manages to make a clean break through 1.0800 points.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: February 7, 2017

The British currency continued to gain losses on Monday on the back of BoEs no rush decision regarding rate hikes coupled with the Inflation Report since the previous week

The sterling had a mixed trades yesterday. Moreover, the GBP/USD weakened during the morning trades and continued to move downwards.

A renewed buying interest occurred amid opening of EU trades which further provided support to the spot. The cable got a stable position throughout the European session and hold a few pips under the region 1.2500 prior to the onset of NA trading. As shown in the 4-hour chart, the price drove the 50-EMA lower and hovered on top of 200 and 100 EMAs. The 100-EMA is moving northbound while the 50 and 200-EMAs stayed in the neutral stance mentioned in the same timeframe. Resistance is at 1.2500, support sits close the 1.2400 handle.

The MACD approached the negative zone, sustaining this position would indicate a stronger position for the sellers. RSI is confined around the oversold area near the neutral readings.

In spite of the decline that recently occurred, the bullish trend was able to maintain its progress. A close under the mark 1.2500 would signal a renewed bearish outlook and has the possibility to advance towards 1.2400 hurdle. Contrarily, a close on top of 1.2500 would retake a bullish sentiment to the cable pair. The spot is possible to recover in the short-term 1.2600.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: February 7, 2017

The U.S. dollar surged paired against the Canadian dollar on Mondays trading session as it climbed up to 1.31 handle. The price turned around heading downward from 1.3387 level after it climbed from 1.2968 level which is a form of consolidation for the price. If the price was able to stay below the said level, this signals the downtrend to continue towards the 1.2800 mark.

The uptrend will most likely continue for some time particularly in the short term. The current psychological levels brings a strong support and if the market is able to break below this, the outcome would not be favorable for the greenback. Hence, traders should expect high volatility in the market.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: February 7, 2017

The Australian dollar declined on Mondays trading session in a high volatility market. There seems to be a strong support found below with buying opportunities close to the 0.76 handle. The price moves in an uptrend which seems to be overextended for some time. The pullback may influenced a strong offer of the price for traders that are willing to buy. The Resistance level is seen at 0.7750 mark while current support level could further decline towards the 0.75 and lower.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: February 13, 2017

The USDCAD was neutral amid Friday night trades. The Asian recovery slowed down overhead the level 1.3120. The greens tried to resume its gains but attempts failed. Renewed selling pressure affected the spot rebounding the price lower than 1.3120 during afternoon session.

The USD fall behind 1.3050 level prior to the opening of the New York hours.

According to the 4-hour chart, the rebounded the 50-EMA lower and tested the 100-day moving averages. The pair is confined under the 200 and 100-EMA throughout the day. The 100 and 50-EMAs is neutralize while 200-EMA moved lower as shown in the same timeframe. Resistance is at 1.3120, support entered 1.3050 region. The MACD histogram decreased which implied weak position for the buyers. RSI is confined in the overvalued territory near the neutral zone.

Bearish sentiment is expected to prevail. If the commodity-linked pair remained on top of the 1.3120 mark, sell order will be posted. The next possible target of the sellers is 1.3050.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: February 13, 2017

Non-Farm Payrolls in France came in positive but the single European currency ignored these strong data. The euro was kept intact in the pressured area on the back of the increasing political instability relative to Frances Presidential election. Moreover, the imminent vote-casting within Germany, Italy, and Netherlands brought added pressure against the EUR. Meanwhile, the US dollar demand was supported by the tax reform proposal by Trump.

The greenbacks further strengthened on Friday while the euro weakened after a clear recovery at night amid EU session.

Traders surpass the 1.0650 level and drove the price downwards during the New York trades. The EUR/USD pushed the 200-day moving averages as shown in the 4-hour chart. The 100 and 50-EMAs were bearish-neutral while 200-EMA manifested a bullish bias in the aforesaid timeframe. Resistance is seen at 1.0650 region, support touched 1.0600 handle.

MACD indicator softened implying a sell signal. RSI is confined in the oversold territory, indicating a downtrend. Another lower movement is expected, reaching the 1.0600 mark. A close below the support region is possible to provide further weakening through 1.0550.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: February 13, 2017

The EUR/USD pair has been subject to a lot of pressure ever since the trading session last Friday up to today due to the US dollar regaining its strength and exhibiting this newfound strength across the board. This positive value of the USD is expected to continue for the rest of this week and the market is quite interested on how the currency pair will be coping with this recent surge in the US dollars value. Presently, the EUR/USD pair has been holding its own on the 1.0600 trading region and the bears have been making repeated attempts to break through this barrier but to no avail. However, the increase in the value of the USD has not direly affected the value of other major currencies but has been slowly but surely increasing and if this particular trend continues then the support barrier might be broken soon enough.

The dollar strength has been largely attributed to Trumps statements that his administration will soon be implementing tax cuts for both corporations and citizens, which has been a cause for celebration within the market and has returned the Trump trade. The Fed is also hinting at increasing the frequency of the interest rate hikes this year by up to three times, and Yellens speech due tomorrow is expected to remain bullish on both the economic situation and the interest rate hikes.

There are no major economic data scheduled to be released for today from both the US and the European Union, so this means that the current trends would most likely to continue today, with the EUR/USD remaining under pressure for the rest of todays session.

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: February 13, 2017

The British pound against the Japanese yen rallied on Fridays session. The price trend gives a bullish tone being tested at 142.50 level which will be balanced off when buyer pulls the price close to the 140 handle. This makes it more advantageous to go for long positions as seems to go uptrend for long-term. Consequently if the price breaks over the peak of the shooting star for the day, it is possible for the price to reach towards the 145 handle. It may not be favorable to sell this pair as British pound gives a long-term support level against the basket of currencies.

The pair is being traded with high volatility and recently the price has been reversed which is already expected as the price got lowered higher than the former. It may not advisable to go for short since the price could get even lower than 145 handle towards the 148.50 level. The buyers may dominate the market as the price continues to go deep. The Japanese yen has sold off against other currencies. There are potential risks in trading this pair as the pair might go higher, the same way with other currencies paired against the yen.

Overall, the pair gives a choppy sentiment with possibilities of big moves going in one direction as the market gives an impulsive reaction. It seems that the market wanted to reach higher but it remains in consolidation as the market is still trying to gain enough momentum to make a bigger move. However, if the price breaks down lower than the 130.50 level is not a good sign.

EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: February 13, 2017

The Euro against the British pound swung within its range during the day with candle pattern formed giving a negative tint. A significant support was found at 0.85 level but sellers are trying to move the price. The price could further go down when the price breaks lower than the 0.8450 level. However, if the price breaks higher than the range that was seen during Fridays trading session, the market could reach the former levels. Overall, there will a rough trading in the market.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: February 14, 2017

The GBP/USD pair exhibited a tight trading activity during yesterdays session as the USDs value surge was felt across the market. However, this activity somewhat failed to make a dent in the value of the sterling pound. A lot of analysts have been saying during the past few days that the GBP is practically the only currency which has resisted the negative effects of the dollar strength in spite of the fact that it continues to be weak as a result of the Brexit process. This is because UK government officials have been working very hard to make the Brexit process clear for everyone, and any kind of certainty is very much welcomed by market traders and investors.

Another reason for the GBP/USDs resistance against the strength of the dollar is the continuously positive string of economic data coming from UK which is an indicator that the countrys economy has not yet been affected by the repercussions of the Brexit process. This could also mean that both the UK economy and the sterling pound might even become better and stronger in the long term even when it finally relieves itself from the European Union. These speculations was able to maintain the GBP/USD pairs position at 500 pips, with more ranging and consolidation expected to continue in the near future in spite of the dollar strength.

UK will be releasing its CPI data today and this will be closely monitored by the market whether this will come out as positive and affirm the countrys strong economic status. US will also be releasing its PPI data today and Yellen will be making a statement with regards to the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, including economic status and interest rate hikes.

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis: February 15, 2017

The USD/JPY pair surged in value on Tuesday as the demand for high-risk assets further increased among investors. The USD also became more attractive for investors as a result of an increase in Treasury yields. The USD/JPY pair finished off the last trading session at 114.249 points after increasing by 0.44% or 0.506 points. This increase in Treasury yields was further supported by Yellens remarks, after the Fed chair stated that it would be impractical to hold off the impending interest rate hikes by the central bank, especially in the face of burgeoning economic growth and inflation rates.

Todays session is expected to be mostly driven by investor sentiments, with high demand for risky assets becoming the likely catalyst. Yellen will also be releasing a statement in Congress today, and the Fed chair is expected to offer more clarifications with regards to the guidelines and further details with regards to the Fed rate hike, with investors putting a 22% probability of an interest rate hike this coming March. The US will also be releasing a number of economic data today, such as the retail sales report and consumer inflation data. Accompanying these major reports are the Empire State Manufacturing Index, Capacity Utilization data, and Industrial Production data.

Yellens statement today is expected to inject additional volatility into the currency pair, and if her comments come out as hawkish, then this could cause the USD/JPY pair to further increase in value. If Yellen refuses to confirm market speculations of a rate hike in March, then this could be used by investors to book their own profits.

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis: February 20, 2017

The USD/CAD continued its tight-range trading as pair continues to fail to make any significant headway as both the bulls and the bears of the pair struggle to take control of the currency pair. During the past weeks, the bulls looked like they had total control of the pair as the pairs price hovered over 1.3200 points, with very few corrections. However, this slowly changed as the weeks progressed and the pair now has to deal with immense pressure at its support barrier of 1.3000 points.

One of the reasons for this move in the USD/CAD pair is that the Canadian economy continues to release consistently positive strings of economic data, while the US continues to disappoint the market by releasing poor economic readings all throughout. The CPI data and retail sales data from the US was released last week, and although these two sets of data came out as fairly positive, it exhibited a very weak wages data and this did not sit well with the pairs bulls. This, along with the fact that the market is still very uncertain with the current US administration and the unwillingness of investors to invest in the USD has led to a pronounced weakness in the US dollar.

For this week, the Canadian economy will be releasing its own set of CPI data and retail sales data, while the US will be releasing the minutes of the FOMC meeting, all of which are expected to induce significant volatility into the activity of the currency pair. If the data coming from the Canadian economy continues to be positive, then the pair bulls would be in trouble and the support barrier of 1.3000 points might very well snap. If this happens, then the USD/CAD pairs trend could be in for some major trend changes.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: February 20, 2017

The U.S. dollar weakened on Friday despite of the light market caused by the federal holiday, US President's Day. Investors attention were drawn towards the nations current political condition while expecting for the final resolution regarding the financial assistance to Greece.

The upward trajectory weakened on Friday. The single European currency failed to break the 1.0680 region and reverse.

During the Asian hours, the market is relatively quiet and exhibit further agility amid EU session. The demand for the greens were brought by some European traders which drove the spot downwards. The EUR steeply declined and tested 1.0650 mark during the post opening of EU trades. The aforesaid mark stalled the sellers action therefore rejected the EURUSD higher. The pair surpass the 200-EMA lower, rebounded the 100-EMA and tested the 50-EMA. Moreover, the 100 and 50-EMAs headed downwards and the 200-day moving averages appeared to be bullish-neutral. Resistance lies at 1.0700, support is seen at 1.0650.

The MACD indicator plunged to the positive territory and if it hovered within that area, the position of the buyers will reinforce. RSI is confined in the overvalued zone, favoring another downward trend.

The major struggled to proceed upwards. A break under 1.0600 region would consider further instability to 1.0550. Should the level jump up would signal an opportunity to buy on a dip.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: February 20, 2017

The Australian dollar dipped during Friday session as investors tried to bring the pair up against the U.S. dollar. There isnt much to see on the Australian and U.S. economic calendar on Friday as it came in a neutral condition as there is a 0.6% increase announced on the U.S. conference board for the month of January compared to that leading index gain of 0.5%.

Come Monday, there are no major events to wait from Australia while the U.S. banks are on a holiday. It is expected for the price trend to remain in lower than the average volume. However, traders should still be cautious on the possible volatility surge.

The main price trend is in the upper levels but there is insufficient momentum as the pair close on Thursday with a price reversal and was repeated the following day. However, price leveled at .7732 will counter the closing price turn around and implies the continuity of the uptrend.

The near-term range is set between .7511 and .7732 with the retracement zone from .7621 to .7595 levels as the next lower target aiming to close the price reversal top chart pattern. Nevertheless, with the current uptrend, it is not far for the buyers to be active again to test the said psychological levels.

After closing at .7664 on Friday, the price trend for today will depend on the market sentiment with the uptrend angle of .7671 level. If the price maintained lower than the .7671 level implying the strengthening of sellers. The daily chart is inclined go downhill and seems to go lower towards the next target at the short-term 50% of .7621. However, if the market was not able to sustain then selling may expand to .7595 and .7591 level.

Traders should look out for an uptrend bias steadily moving over the .7671 level while a downside trend below the .7652 mark. A breakout and a retained move over the .7671 mark signals the presence of buyers. This could push the price towards the next downtrend angle at .7692 level followed by .7712 and and the last possible resistance at .7722 downtrend angles before peak at .7732 level.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: February 22, 2017

The Aussie declined following the broad-based US dollars strengthening. The minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia weighed on the Australian dollar after the regulator decided to keep a steady monetary policy where its major targets correspond with the GDP and inflation.

The AUDUSD develop below the fresh selling pressure yesterday. The reserval within 0.7650 seems short-lived, reaching 0.7700 level. The price bounced back to the resistance during the Asian hours, favoring a downward trend. The spot touched 0.7650 region in the late session of Europe.

The price leading the 50-EMA downwards is exhibited in the 4-hour chart, as it further reached the 100-EMA eventually. All moving averages ascended. The resistance settled near 0.7700, support is at 0.7650.

MACD histogram touched the centerline. An entry within the negative zone will provide more strength for the sellers. When the indicator return to the positive territory, it enable buyers to regulate the market. RSI still sits around the neutral area.

A daily close under 0.7650 region could bring risk to 0.7600. Failure to surpass the region would assist the AUD to ease the ongoing downward pressure. The price is possible to rebound 0.7700.